The biggest change in the roadmap this time is that the policy has loosened on "hybrid power", proposed that hybrid power is the most effective energy-saving technology for internal combustion engine vehicles, and actively promotes the realization of "hybridization" of traditional cars.
On September 16, at the Global New Energy Vehicle Supply Chain Innovation Conference, Wang Binggang, leader of the National New Energy Vehicle Innovation Engineering Project Expert Group, revealed that version 2.0 of the "Energy-saving and New Energy Vehicle Technology Roadmap" has passed expert review and will soon To be officially released.
The biggest change in the roadmap this time is that the policy has loosened on "hybrid power" and proposed that hybrid power is the most effective energy-saving technology for internal combustion engine vehicles, and actively promotes the realization of "hybridization" of traditional vehicles, including new energy vehicles and traditional vehicles. "Electric drive" technology is more in line with China's national conditions with a "comprehensive electric drive plan" instead of the "burn ban timetable".
Energy-saving and new-energy vehicles each account for 50% in 2035, from pure electric to "electric drive"
Wang Binggang pointed out that the overall goal of the latest new energy development technology roadmap is that energy-saving vehicles and new energy vehicles will each account for about 50% in 2035, and the automotive industry will basically achieve electric transformation.
He believes that China's new energy vehicles and energy conservation should be developed at the same time. China has a vast territory, complex geography, climate, and use environment. It is more suitable to use diversified automotive technologies. At the same time, my country is a big energy consumer, and China's transportation energy diversification is safer.
But at the same time, he also affirmed that my country will still adhere to the pure electric drive strategy. "Ten years ago, my country's development strategy based on pure electric drive has achieved remarkable results, and we still adhere to this technical route."
However, he believes that full electric drive will highly integrate the industrial chain of energy-efficient vehicles and new energy vehicles. "Comprehensive electric drive" eliminates the technical system boundaries between traditional automobiles and new energy automobiles, and is expected to build a new overall technical structure and industrial chain layout of China's automobile industry, which will help form the overall thinking and layout of China's automobile industry development .
In the past 10 years, the development of pure electric vehicles has led to the initial establishment of an industrial chain of power batteries, drive motors, electronic control systems, and charging and swapping infrastructure, which has changed the structure of the traditional automobile industry chain that has lasted for a century, and has become the development and competitiveness of my country’s automobile industry. The new important foundation.
The demand for power batteries is no longer a single requirement for "energy density"
Wang Binggang believes that my country's new energy vehicles will emerge from the incubation period and soon enter a period of rapid development. The industrial chain must be deployed in advance to avoid missing opportunities. "The national policy still needs to support the development of new energy vehicles, but it will shift from subsidies for car purchases to policy encouragement on the end of use."
The latest roadmap forecasts the rapid development vision and phased milestones for the next 15 years. In 2025, my country's EV and PHEV will account for 15-25% of total sales. In 2030, this proportion will reach 30-40%; in 2035, it will increase to 50-60%.
It is worth mentioning that he mentioned that the industrial chain layout of my country's power battery should take into account technological progress and market demand. On the one hand, it is necessary to consider the different needs of different vehicle models for power batteries, including energy type, energy-power type and power type; on the other hand, it must also meet the diversity of market demand. The roadmap proposes popular, commercial and high-end types.
"The power battery is no longer solely guided by high energy density, but instead adheres to the principle of safety first, taking into account performance, cost and life expectancy." Wang Binggang said.
At the same time, he believes that electric drive systems will be the top priority in the future automotive industry chain. However, my country has obvious shortcomings in the electric drive system technology, and the electromechanical coupling decoration technology is backward. It is necessary to learn the lessons of the internal combustion engine industry and increase the independent research and development and industrial development of the electric drive system.
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