Since the introduction of new energy vehicles to the market, the bad news of internal combustion engines has continued to appear. In recent years, in the context of the rapid popularization of new energy vehicles and the "dual carbon" goal, the internal combustion engine industry has been dubbed the "sunset industry" several times.
In fact, from the perspective of the entire manufacturing economy, it is impossible and not allowed for the internal combustion engine to "decline". Shi Jianhua, deputy secretary-general of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, pointed out that in 2020, the annual main business income of mainstream internal combustion engine companies in China will reach 3.9 trillion yuan, which is a typical pillar industry.
In the future, internal combustion engines will achieve "near zero emissions". At present, energy-saving vehicles equipped with internal combustion engines still have an advantage in sales
Recently, the "High-quality Development Plan for the Internal Combustion Engine Industry (2021-2035)" (hereinafter referred to as the "Plan") was officially released. Experts in the industry pointed out that the internal combustion engine industry is a pillar industry of the national economy. Despite the current huge challenges, the internal combustion engine industry is also in the best window of innovation and development.
Data shows that last year, my country produced 81.5 million internal combustion engines, and the downstream products supporting internal combustion engines accounted for one-third of the world. my country is already a veritable large country in the manufacture of internal combustion engines, among which automobiles are the main application areas of internal combustion engines. In the short term, internal combustion engines will continue to be the main form of vehicle drive.
From the perspective of import and export data, the internal combustion engine still has vigorous vitality. According to data from the General Administration of Customs, from January to June this year, the total import and export volume of the internal combustion engine industry was US$14.960 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34.99%, and an average year-on-year increase of 2.36% over the two years. Among them, imports were US$5.679 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.64%; exports were US$9.28 billion, a year-on-year increase of 48.39%, and a two-year increase of 5.37%.
"Compared with 20 years ago, internal combustion engines have undergone radical changes. In particular, various harmful emissions of internal combustion engines have been reduced by 1,000 times. In the upcoming National 7 standard phase, harmful emissions will continue to be reduced by more than 90%. Further achieve'near zero emissions'." Su Wanhua, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, also believes that the internal combustion engine industry is a pillar industry of the national economy and affirmed the development of my country's internal combustion engines for decades.
Yan Ping, president of the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, proposed that the internal combustion engine industry is an important basic industry in my country and a very critical link in the global manufacturing chain. The goal of "harmony" and guaranteeing the high-quality development of the national economy are of great significance.
The industry's support for the transformation and upgrading of the internal combustion engine industry is based on the forecast of future automobile sales. In October last year, the "Energy-saving and New Energy Vehicle Technology Roadmap (Version 2.0)" was released. According to the roadmap, my country's annual sales of energy-saving vehicles and new energy vehicles will each account for 50% of the annual sales in 2035. This means that, facing the challenge of new energy vehicles, energy-saving vehicles equipped with internal combustion engines will still have certain advantages in sales for at least 14 years in the future.
The internal combustion engine industry chain must coordinate technological innovation, accumulate industry advantages, and tackle key core technologies in the industry
"The development of the internal combustion engine industry is facing unprecedented challenges. First, the huge impact brought by new energy; second, the supply chain risk will exist for a long time; third, the technological development has entered a bottleneck period." Party Secretary of FAW Jiefang Automobile Co., Ltd. Engine Division Qian Hengrong, general manager and vice chairman of the China Internal Affairs Association, said that the internal combustion engine industry chain must coordinate technological innovation and synchronize "technical subversion." This requires a lot of time to explore, and the internal combustion engine industry is now short of time.
"While recognizing the challenges, the internal combustion engine industry is also in the best window of innovation and development." Qian Hengrong analyzed that from an international perspective, the European Union "banned combustion" and abandoned the research on the next-generation automotive internal combustion engine technology. my country's seizure of international dominance in the internal combustion engine industry has created favorable conditions. From a domestic perspective, my country is vigorously promoting new infrastructure, which is conducive to reducing the carbon emissions of the entire life cycle of the internal combustion engine industry. It also helps related companies to devote more energy to transformation and development and technological upgrading to promote the development of the internal combustion engine industry. Healthy development. In addition, my country's internal combustion engine industry has built a strong talent team.
For the "time" that is the most critical factor in the development of the internal combustion engine industry, Qian Hengrong proposed that the internal combustion engine industry must achieve four "fastnesses".
One is to build the system quickly. Create an innovative community of politics, industry, academia, research, and application, complete system construction and platform construction as soon as possible, accumulate industry advantages, and provide a solid organizational guarantee for the key core technology of the internal combustion engine industry.
The second is that the transformation of digital intelligence must be fast. Further accelerate the pace of digitalization and intelligence of the internal combustion engine industry, promote the deep integration of the entire internal combustion engine industry chain, value chain and information technology, and create more favorable conditions for the realization of disruptive technological innovation.
The third is to switch autonomously quickly. Pay close attention to the key components of the internal combustion engine industry, and increase research efforts in the fields of electronic control systems and post-processing systems, accelerate the switching process of independent products in the field of "stuck", and promote the overall upgrade of the industrial chain with the improvement of the supply chain capacity .
Fourth is to upgrade fuel faster. Accelerate the research and promotion of alternative fuels, accelerate the development of carbon-neutral fuel products such as hydrogen, deepen the research on high-efficiency and clean combustion technologies such as low-carbon fuels and biomass fuels, reduce carbon content from the emission source, and provide a powerful force for achieving the "double carbon" goal support.
The "greening" transformation of internal combustion engines is related to whether the auto industry can achieve the dual-carbon goals, and will face a more severe test
The "Plan" proposes to strive to achieve "carbon peak" in the internal combustion engine industry by 2028, achieve "near-zero pollution emissions" by 2030, and achieve "carbon neutrality" by 2050, so as to meet the needs of national economic construction, national defense security, and people’s livelihood for high efficiency, The demand for clean, low-carbon internal combustion power.
Su Wanhua said that compared with 2010 products, my country’s internal combustion engine has reduced fuel consumption by an average of 25% and carbon dioxide emissions by 25%. However, the internal combustion engine industry still has a long way to go before the goals set out in the "Plan".
Under the hard demand for energy saving and emission reduction, the "greening" transformation of internal combustion engines has become one of the keys to determining the efficiency of the dual-carbon goals of the automotive industry. Xing Min, secretary-general of the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, said that at present, the "greening" of internal combustion engines can be roughly divided into three types, one is to improve the thermal efficiency of traditional energy sources (gasoline, diesel); the other is to develop hybrid and complementary technologies of traditional energy and electric motors; One is to research and develop the use of new fuels (hydrogen energy).
Yan Ping said that during the "13th Five-Year Plan" period, my country's internal combustion engine industry has achieved rapid development, and its technical level and independent research and development capabilities have been significantly improved.
This year is the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan". With the full implementation of the national six emission standards for roads and the promulgation of non-road national four emission standards, the internal combustion engine industry will face more severe challenges in the field of energy conservation and emission reduction. Especially under the guidance of the "Plan", the internal combustion engine must fully meet the requirements of energy security, dual-carbon targets, emission standards, energy consumption regulations, and independent controllability of key technologies in the industry. The issuance and implementation of the "Plan" will greatly promote the innovation and development of my country's internal combustion engine industry, contribute to the completion of the "14th Five-Year Plan" of the internal combustion engine industry and even the longer-term comprehensive promotion of energy-saving and green manufacturing strategic tasks, and improve the overall integration of my country's internal combustion engine industry in the international market. Competitiveness is of great significance.
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